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Keywords: horse racing, race ratings, national hunt, jumping, statistics, data, Bayes’ theorem, racing systems, The Punter’s Revenge
Race Ratings for National Hunt Horse
Racing
HOOF race ratings are designed for a
statistics-grounded value approach to National Hunt horse racing
in the UK. Unlike conventional race ratings, they offer the
backer an authoritative guide to both form and
value. The program which
generates the ratings uses Bayes’ theorem to
calculate each
horse’s chance of winning. The resulting figures are then
recalculated to give an edge in the backer’s favour. Hence
the acronym: Horserace Optimum Odds Forecast.
National Hunt Race Ratings Free Data
Resources - the HOOF Archive
Use the free downloadable
archive data in
spreadsheet-friendly text format to devise your own HOOF National
Hunt race ratings systems.
For reasons of space, archive
material for the
2009-10 and 2010-11 seasons are published in the
’Files’ section of the HOOF
discussion forum.
'The Punter's Revenge' Free Online
Selected chapters from the old classic ’The
Punter’s Revenge’, which I co-authored in
1987, are now available as an online resource in PDF for
those interested in statistics and statistical approaches to
horse racing.
The book is very dated in places, but the statistical
principles and methods that we advocated all
those years ago, still hold. For technical reasons, the PDF
version is not available on this site, but can be accessed by joining
the HOOF discussion Forum.
All About HOOF National Hunt Ratings
A
fuller account of the theory and practice
behind the ratings can be found here.
Free Two Week Trial
For a chance to see if the ratings will work for you
write to: freetrial - at - hoof - dot - demon - dot - co - dot -
uk (replacing the words 'at' and 'dot' with the appropriate
characters).
The 2011-12 National Hunt
season - How to Access the Ratings
Publication of
the ratings will resume on 1st November 2011 and will continue until
30th April
2012 inclusive. Click here for full details of subscription conditions
and mode of publication.
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