Race Ratings for National Hunt Horse Racing
HOOF race ratings are designed for value betting on National Hunt horse racing in the UK. Unlike conventional race ratings, they offer the backer an authoritative guide to both form and value. The program which generates the ratings uses Bayes' theorem to calculate each horse's chance of winning. The resulting figures are then recalculated to give an edge in the backer's favour. Hence the acronym: Horserace Optimum Odds Forecast.

 LATEST NEWS - THE RETURN OF THE RATINGS
The 2007-08 season ended prematurely on Christmas Eve 2007, when I had a serious accident on my road bike.  This left me hospitalised for three months, with a further three months of rehab.  I am now back in harness, having beaten the odds and     defied the surgeon's prognosis.

My first task will be to update this web site.

The HOOF archive will shortly be added to with full spreadsheet-friendly results for 2006-07.

Selected chapters from the book 'The Punter's Revenge' which I co-authored in 1987 will also be made available as an online resource for those interested in statistical approaches to horse racing.  The book is a trifle dated in places, but the statistical principles and methods which Richard Forsyth and I advocated all those years ago, still hold.

The 2008-09 jumping season will see the return of the ratings, and will run from 1st November to 31st April inclusive.

GETTING IN TOUCH
I will not put my email address up on a web page, since this simply ecourages identity theft.  If you wish to contact me, join the HOOF forum and contact me from there.  The forum can be found here.
 

Introduction to the Horserace Optimum Odds Forecast.
A fuller account of the theory and practice behind the ratings.

Subscription details
How to access the ratings.

Join the HOOF forum
Join the forum and get a feel for how HOOF subscribers operate.

Review 2003-04
Review of the 2003-04 season.

Review 2004-05
Review of the 2004-05 season.

Review 2005-06
Review of the 2005-06 season.

Review 2006-07
Review of the 2006-07 season
 

The HOOF Archive
Use the free downloadable archive data in spreadsheet-friendly format to devise your own HOOF-based systems.

 Hoof Archive 2004-06
Data from part of the 2004-05 season (October-December), and all of the 2005-06 season (November-April)

Coming soon:  HOOF archive of the 2006-07 season  (November-April).

Links
Links to related sites including online betting organizations.